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Eco Investor December 2015
Features
Stories from Your Future: The Environment in 2100
Predicting the future is an old game that no one is good at, so one of
the best parts is all the great expressions that have sprung up to explain
this. Some of the classics are: "Prediction is very difficult, especially
if it's about the future." "The future isn't what it used to
be!" "An economist is an expert who will know tomorrow why the
things he predicted yesterday didn't happen today." "I have
seen the future and it is very much like the present, only longer."
The fact that so many individuals get it wrong might suggest that a consensus
approach is better as the right answer is bound to be in there somewhere.
And that's the approach taken by John O'Brien in his book Visions 2100:
Stories From Your Future. John asked 80 of the world's leading environmental
professionals and thinkers to give a brief vision of the world in the
year 2100.
While some try to predict, many aim to influence. And that's a good thing,
as visions can change the world - the key idea that O'Brien uses to start
the book.
The result is a huge variety of visions and ideas about different sides
of the environment. As O'Brien puts it "Some tell us of tourist trips
to space, the latest' stock market results, our printed food or
the traffic jams in our future cities. Others talk about the dark days
when the world got to the brink of collapse ... Our food, cities, gadgets,
holidays, investments and traffic are all profiled." Some visions
come from fear, some from hope, but you get the picture that it's 80 different
pictures and the next picture is another surprise.
O'Brien says "This book almost certainly contains an accurate prediction
of the world that your grandchildren will inhabit. Which of these versions
of the future is the correct one is not so easy to say."
But it's fun having a go.
And if you want to know what the stock market will look like in 2100,
well, you'll have to read the book...
The book can be ordered online at http://www.visions2100.com/

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